GS

business

18 MARKETS

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?

December 31, 2025
0%
December 31, 2026
90%
+3 more

Kraken IPO by ___ ?

December 31
0%
March 31, 2026
0%
+2 more

US recession by end of 2026?

20%chance

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Multi
0 (0 bps)
68%
1 (25 bps)
19%
+11 more

Largest Company end of June?

Multi
NVIDIA
90%
Apple
3%
+26 more

Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by...?

December 31, 2025
0%
June 30, 2026
4%

OpenAI IPO by...?

December 31, 2025
0%
June 30, 2026
1%
+4 more

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

64%chance

Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?

8%chance

Sam Altman in jail by...?

December 31, 2025
0%
June 30, 2026
1%

NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?

18%chance

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

12%chance

Largest Company end of December 2026?

Multi
Microsoft
1%
Alphabet
19%
+26 more

IPOs before 2027?

Discord
59%
Ripple Labs
14%
+32 more

Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?

8%chance

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

2%chance

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?

30%chance

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?

8%chance