geopolitics
18 MARKETS
China x India military clash by...?
December 31
0%
June 30
0%
+1 more
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?
December 31, 2025
0%
June 30, 2026
2%
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?
December 31, 2025
0%
June 30, 2026
2%
+1 more
Ukraine election called by...?
December 31, 2025
0%
June 30, 2026
3%
+2 more
Will any country leave NATO by...?
December 31, 2025
0%
June 30, 2026
1%
+1 more
Ukraine election held by...?
December 31, 2025
0%
June 30, 2026
1%
+1 more
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?
August 31
0%
December 31
0%
+11 more
US x Russia military clash by...?
December 31
0%
June 30, 2026
1%
+2 more
Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?
December 31, 2025
0%
June 30, 2026
1%
Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?
December 31, 2025
0%
June 30, 2026
4%
+1 more
Will Russia capture Sumy by...?
September 30
0%
December 31
0%
+1 more
US recognize Somaliland by...?
December 31
0%
June 30
3%
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
8%chance
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
10%chance
Will Russia capture Lyman by...?
December 31
0%
November 30
0%
+7 more
Will Israel annex any territory by...?
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?
0%
June 30, 2026
4%
+1 more
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
7%chance
Netanyahu out by...?
December 31
60%
March 31
0%
+3 more