Polymarket

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?

30%chance

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)

Multi

500B–600B

0%

900B–1T

0%

+6 more

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

>$1T

99%

>$1.4T

97%

+14 more

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

Multi

<5

59%

11-12

5%

+6 more

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

Multi

$SPAX

1%

$SX

0%

+17 more

SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?

4%chance

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

13%chance

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

32%chance

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

7%chance

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

4%chance

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?

8%chance

How many SpaceX launches in 2026?

Multi

<100

1%

120-139

4%

+5 more

SpaceX IPO by ___ ?

March 31

0%

June 30

96%

+6 more

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

Multi

1.6T–1.8T

4%

No IPO before 2028

1%

+6 more

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?

June 30

3%

December 31

33%

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

98%chance

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

89%chance

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Multi

Placeholder K

Placeholder O

+72 more

spacex