GS

openai

18 MARKETS

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

December 31, 2025
0%
March 31, 2026
0%
+1 more

GPT-6 released by…?

December 31, 2025
0%
March 31, 2026
0%
+3 more

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

Multi
<500B
6%
500–750B
5%
+5 more

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

Multi
Google
14%
OpenAI
4%
+17 more

Which company has best AI model end of June?

Multi
Google
14%
OpenAI
3%
+17 more

Which company has second best AI model end of June?

Multi
Anthropic
80%
Alibaba
0%
+17 more

Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?

8%chance

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

13%chance

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

64%chance

Sam Altman in jail by...?

December 31, 2025
0%
June 30, 2026
1%

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

12%chance

OpenAI acquired before 2027?

6%chance

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

12%chance

Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?

7%chance

Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?

6%chance

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

3%chance

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

45%+
100%
50%+
100%
+2 more

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

50%+
37%
35%+
100%
+1 more