GS

ai

18 MARKETS

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

December 31, 2025
0%
March 31, 2026
0%
+1 more

GPT-6 released by…?

December 31, 2025
0%
March 31, 2026
0%
+3 more

Claude 5 released by…?

December 31, 2025
0%
March 31, 2026
0%
+8 more

Grok 5 released by...?

December 31, 2025
0%
March 31, 2026
0%
+1 more

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

Multi
<100B
0%
100–200B
0%
+5 more

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

Multi
Google
14%
OpenAI
4%
+17 more

Which company has best AI model end of June?

Multi
Google
14%
OpenAI
3%
+17 more

Which company has second best AI model end of June?

Multi
Anthropic
80%
Alibaba
0%
+17 more

Largest Company end of June?

Multi
NVIDIA
91%
Apple
3%
+26 more

Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?

8%chance

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

13%chance

OpenAI IPO by...?

December 31, 2025
0%
June 30, 2026
1%
+4 more

Sam Altman in jail by...?

December 31, 2025
0%
June 30, 2026
1%

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

12%chance

Which cities will Waymo launch in by June 30?

New York City
3%
Miami
100%
+7 more

How many cities will Waymo operate in by June 30?

Multi
7
9%
11
37%
+6 more

Largest Company end of December 2026?

Multi
Microsoft
1%
Alphabet
19%
+26 more

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

2%chance