GS

fed rates

18 MARKETS

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Multi
0 (0 bps)
68%
1 (25 bps)
19%
+11 more

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

4.3%
100%
4.4%
100%
+8 more

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

4.0%
100%
3.0%
14%
+7 more

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

12%chance

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

↑ 5.0%
3%
↑ 5.25%
3%
+19 more

Fed Decision in June?

Multi
25 bps decrease
1%
25 bps increase
1%
+3 more

Fed rate hike in 2026?

31%chance

Fed rate cut by...?

June Meeting
2%
January Meeting
0%
+6 more

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

May 30
0%
December 31
44%

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

2%chance

Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?

1%chance

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

Multi
4.25%
7%
2.25%
0%
+13 more

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Multi
Cut–Pause–Pause
0%
Cut–Cut–Pause
0%
+7 more

Fed Decision in July?

Multi
No change
92%
25 bps increase
5%
+3 more

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Multi
Cut–Pause–Pause
0%
Cut–Pause–Cut
0%
+7 more

Fed rate hike by...?

June Meeting
1%
September Meeting
12%
+3 more

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

June 30
5%
December 31
17%

Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

1%chance