weather
18 MARKETS
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
Multi1
33%
3
3%
+4 more

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
Multi<4m sq km
49%
4.2-4.4m sq km
10%
+5 more

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
↑5k
16%
↑1k
100%
+7 more

Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?
0%chance

Will a hurricane form by May 31?
0%chance

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?
Multi0
0%
2
0%
+7 more

Named storm forms before hurricane season?
0%chance

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
7%chance

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
5%chance

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
11%chance

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
32%chance

Natural Disaster in 2026?
27%chance

Megaquake by June 30?
13%chance

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
13%chance

5kt meteor strike in 2026?
32%chance

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
Multi<5
0%
5–7
1%
+5 more

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
11%chance

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
Multi1
25%
3
1%
+4 more