GS
Markets·Multi-outcome

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

$$1.1M Vol. Vol.Mar 31, 20276 markets
Yes
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Outcome Overview

065%125%24%31%
MarketChanceBuy YesBuy No

This market will resolve according to the number of natural volcanic eruptions with a Volcanic Explosivity Index (VEI) of 4 or higher between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The primary resolution source will be the Smithsonian Institution Global Volcanism Program (GVP: https://volcano.si.edu/), specific…

0

Yes · 67¢

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