
Markets·Multi-outcome
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
$$1.1M Vol. Vol.Mar 31, 20276 markets
Yes
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Outcome Overview
065%125%24%31%
MarketChanceBuy YesBuy No
This market will resolve according to the number of natural volcanic eruptions with a Volcanic Explosivity Index (VEI) of 4 or higher between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The primary resolution source will be the Smithsonian Institution Global Volcanism Program (GVP: https://volcano.si.edu/), specific…

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Yes · 67¢
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