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Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
$$163K Vol. Vol.Dec 31, 20261 market
Yes
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MarketChanceBuy YesBuy No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a natural meteoroid (bolide) explodes in Earth's atmosphere with a total impact energy greater than or equal to 10 kilotons of TNT equivalent between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The object must be classified as a natura…

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
Yes · 13¢
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