lebanon
18 MARKETS
Will Hezbollah disarm by...?
March 31
0%
December 31
17%
+1 more
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
18%chance
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?
December 31
0%
March 31, 2026
0%
+2 more
Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner
MultiFree Patriotic Movement (FPM)
2%
Taqaddom Party
1%
+42 more
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?
16%chance
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?
April 17
0%
April 30
0%
+1 more
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?
April 26
0%
May 31
0%
+2 more
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
April 30
0%
April 22
0%
+4 more
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?
April 30
0%
June 30
7%
+2 more
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?
May 31
0%
April 26
0%
+1 more
Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?
31%chance
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?
5%chance
Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30?
15%chance
Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?
May 31
2%
June 30
7%
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by...?
June 7
21%
June 30
37%
+1 more
Israeli forces enter Tyre by...?
May 31
2%
June 7
9%
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?
May 31
6%
June 7
31%
Israeli forces enter Choukine by...?
June 7
20%
May 31
5%