GS

trump iran

18 MARKETS

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

7%chance

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

11%chance

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

Benjamin Netanyahu
1%
Pete Hegseth
1%
+6 more

Kurds declare independence from Iran?

2%chance

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

March 31
0%
April 30
0%
+2 more

US military draft authorized in 2026?

8%chance

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

0%chance

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

4%chance

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?

March 31
0%
April 30
0%
+2 more

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

April 30
0%
December 31
44%
+3 more

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

59%chance

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

May 31
0%
April 30
0%
+3 more

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

0%chance

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

27%chance

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

April 22
0%
April 30
0%
+13 more

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

April 15
0%
April 16
0%
+24 more

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

May 31
4%
April 17
0%
+14 more

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Multi
No Meeting by June 30
40%
Oman
1%
+17 more