regional spillover
5 MARKETS
Israel military action against Yemen by...?
June 30
13%
March 31
0%
+3 more

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by...?
June 30
2%
December 31
12%

Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?
5%chance

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
March 31
0%
April 30
0%
+3 more

KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?
9%chance