Polymarket

Grok 5 released by...?

December 31, 2025

0%

March 31, 2026

0%

+1 more

Will Elon register any party before 2027?

10%chance

Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?

6%chance

Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?

8%chance

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?

30%chance

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?

8%chance

Richest person on December 31, 2026?

Multi

Larry Ellison

0%

Bernard Arnault

1%

+35 more

Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30?

5%chance

Will Elon Musk go on Joe Rogan before June 30?

17%chance

Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?

13%chance

Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

93%chance

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)

Multi

500B–600B

0%

900B–1T

0%

+6 more

Another Elon baby by June 30?

12%chance

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

>$1T

99%

>$1.4T

97%

+14 more

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

Multi

<5

59%

11-12

5%

+6 more

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

Multi

$SPAX

1%

$SX

0%

+17 more

SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?

4%chance

Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?

14%chance

elon musk