GS

congress

18 MARKETS

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

December 31, 2025
0%
March 31, 2026
0%
+2 more

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Multi
Democratic Party
47%
Republican Party
54%
+7 more

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

October 31
0%
December 31
0%
+2 more

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

20%chance

Will Trump be impeached by June 30?

1%chance

ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?

Multi
Not Extended & Democratic Party
82%
Extended & Republican Party
0%
+3 more

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

Multi
Shutdown & Democratic Party
81%
No Shutdown & Democratic Party
0%
+3 more

How many Republican House members not running in 2026?

Multi
<24
4%
28–31
8%
+5 more

How many Democratic House members not running in 2026?

Multi
20–23
29%
28–31
16%
+5 more

How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?

Multi
11
16%
5
9%
+7 more

Blue wave in 2026?

75%chance

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Multi
≤47
27%
49
14%
+9 more

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

7%chance

How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

Multi
2
70%
0
7%
+4 more

How many Democratic Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

Multi
0
72%
1
16%
+4 more

How many Democratic House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

Multi
4-6
37%
10-12
4%
+4 more

How many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

Multi
<3
1%
7-9
40%
+4 more

Blue tsunami in 2026?

44%chance