big tech
18 MARKETS
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
December 31, 2025
0%
March 31, 2026
0%
+1 more
GPT-6 released by…?
December 31, 2025
0%
March 31, 2026
0%
+3 more
Who will acquire TikTok?
AppLovin
1%
Microsoft
0%
+5 more
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
Multi<500B
6%
500–750B
5%
+5 more
Databricks IPO Closing Market Cap
Multi<100B
0%
100–125B
2%
+6 more
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
Multi<100B
0%
100–200B
0%
+5 more
Will Tesla release Optimus by...?
June 30
2%
December 31
14%
Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?
8%chance
Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)
MultiGoogle
14%
OpenAI
4%
+17 more
Which company has best AI model end of June?
MultiGoogle
14%
OpenAI
3%
+17 more
Which company has second best AI model end of June?
MultiAnthropic
80%
Alibaba
0%
+17 more
Largest Company end of June?
MultiNVIDIA
90%
Apple
3%
+26 more
Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
8%chance
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
13%chance
OpenAI IPO by...?
December 31, 2025
0%
June 30, 2026
1%
+4 more
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
64%chance
Sam Altman in jail by...?
December 31, 2025
0%
June 30, 2026
1%
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
12%chance